Re: 2017 Natinal Hurricane Conference - Apr 17-20, New Orleans
Posted by Shalista
on 4/18/2017, 3:54 pm
|Speaking of, has anyone seen the hurricane prediction they are coming up with this season?|
The CSU Tropical Meteorology Project team is predicting 11 named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. Of those, researchers expect four to become hurricanes and two to reach major hurricane strength
Factor #1: El Nino
The weak La Niña of this past winter has dissipated, and now forecasters are watching for the potential development of a weak to moderate El Niño, which could form by the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season.
Factor # 2: Anomalous cooling in the tropical Atlantic
Like El Niño in the Pacific, Atlantic water temperatures have their own cycles which affect global weather patterns. One long-term cycle is known as the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). Current water temperature patterns in the North Atlantic are trending colder than normal, and that too can have an impact on the upcoming season.
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