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Re: 2017 Natinal Hurricane Conference - Apr 17-20, New Orleans

Posted by Shalista on 4/18/2017, 3:54 pm

Speaking of, has anyone seen the hurricane prediction they are coming up with this season?

The CSU Tropical Meteorology Project team is predicting 11 named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. Of those, researchers expect four to become hurricanes and two to reach major hurricane strength


http://www.carriermanagement.com/news/2017/04/11/166103.htm



Factor #1: El Nino

The weak La Niña of this past winter has dissipated, and now forecasters are watching for the potential development of a weak to moderate El Niño, which could form by the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season.

Factor # 2: Anomalous cooling in the tropical Atlantic

Like El Niño in the Pacific, Atlantic water temperatures have their own cycles which affect global weather patterns. One long-term cycle is known as the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). Current water temperature patterns in the North Atlantic are trending colder than normal, and that too can have an impact on the upcoming season.


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2017 Natinal Hurricane Conference - Apr 17-20, New Orleans - cypresstx, 4/17/2017, 12:02 pm

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