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Re: Hurricane watch issued for Franklin along eastern Yucatan coast

Posted by CX on 8/7/2017, 9:11 am

Franklin looks good this morning.

Solid circulation with prominent feeder band evident from SE all the way around to W side, developing a nascent eyewall.

Franklin's feeder along the E is very heavy though. It contains a pile of energy, but I wonder if it is sapping needed convergence from the LLC and thus delaying faster intensification.

With that noted, banding is developing on the W side and is successfully wrapping in. The UL trough that was imparting shear has degraded and we should see less shear and steady, if not rapid intensification up until landfall. The key to rapid intensification, however, is predicated on how long it takes Franklin to spark a convective burst and develop a CDO over the LLC.

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Hurricane watch issued for Franklin along eastern Yucatan coast - Chris in Tampa, 8/7/2017, 5:05 am

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