Hurricane City Hurricane TV CaneTalk Logo
CaneTalk Forum | Search Messages | Post a New Message | Member Map

| HurricaneCity | Tropical Atlantic | Chat Room | Board Rules

Re: ENSO-neutral conditions are predicted for the upcoming peak months (August-October) of the Atlan

Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/10/2017, 5:01 pm

I don't know a great place to look for year to year anomalies.

The only product I can think of at the moment is:

Looking at:
850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) 0-24h
850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) 24-48h
And then under Anomaly column.


850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) 0-24h:


850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) 24-48h:

1 m/s = 1.94384 knot = 2.23694 mph

Then at the bottom of the page there are regionally specific charts. Look for the "850-200 hPa Vertical Shear" column. Then look across for what region you want to view shear for. Blue line is current, black line is climatology.

The colored subbasin image above those charts tells you where each region is.

Info about that product:

For current shear in case you want that...

Current wind shear:

And how shear has changed over past 24 hours:

1 knot = 1.15 mph

For individual storms you can use the SHIPS text output for a particular storm every 6 hours, looking at bottom of this folder:
It will tell you what the shear if forecast to be along one particular model's forecast track.

I don't know how well these products do. Sometimes it has seemed like the CIMSS product has had the shear wrong.

The climatological charts show shear up and down depending on when you look. I guess several of the charts show either below normal to near average shear in the past few months. Carib seems to be more around average though.


In this thread:

Forecasters are now predicting a higher likelihood of an above-normal season - Spin_Doctor, 8/9/2017, 1:37 pm

< Return to message board

Post A Reply



Add Smiley:

Add Image (Tutorial):
Image URL:

Embed Video or other Social Media:
Page URL of YouTube Video: Add
Page URL of Facebook post or image (not image URL): Add
Page URL of Twitter tweet: Add
Page URL of recorded Ustream Video: Add
Page URL of Vine Video: Add
If you prefer to embed something manually for any of these sites, you can also do that. For Ustream, you can only embed live videos manually rather than using the above feature. No other sites are currently supported.

If you embed something manually please be aware that due to the security restrictions on some browsers manually entering embedded code may not allow it to appear correctly when you view it. However, after you post the message it will work properly. This will not be a problem if you use the above feature to add embedded content.