Questions
Posted by
Gianmarc on 8/24/2017, 8:20 pm
Jim, I definitely will be watching starting at 9 p.m. tonight and I look forward to your coverage. In the event that you have the time or inclination to indulge me on a two questions during the show, here are some for which I would love to hear your answers.
1. You may recall that a number of significant hurricanes that have made landfall on the Gulf coast have lost some organization and intensity as they approached the shoreline. You may remember that storms like Rita and Katrina took on a kind of "Bat Man" appearance on radar as they neared the shore. Do you anticipate something similar happening with Harvey? Is it likely to necessarily MAKE LANDFALL at Cat 4 even if it attains that intensity on the way toward Texas? I know this would not matter in terms of storm surge or other damage; it still would be devastating even if Harvey actually came in at Cat 2 or 3, but I am very curious about why it seems to be hard for Gulf of Mexico storms to maintain top-end intensity through the point of actual landfall.
2. I feel a sense of DeJa Vu as we see a storm with 974 mb pressure (as of this moment) but "only" 85 mph winds. I recall a similar discrepancy when Katrina first left Florida and entered the Southeastern Gulf of Mexico, when it maintained 115 mph winds for a good while despite having a pressure low enough to justify much stronger winds. Then when I woke up the next morning we had a 160 mph Cat 5 on our hands. Do you anticipate anything similar here, a scenario in which winds hold steady around Cat 1 intensity as pressure continues to drop tonight, then suddenly "catch up" maybe some time tomorrow and raise the system several categories in intensity?
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