Re: Saturday 0Z Euro Ensemble
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 9/2/2017, 7:35 am
The prior time the Euro showed a U.S. mainland landfall it was over Key West. (12Z on August 31st) This was the first run showing landfall on the East Coast. So there have been changes already in just that model. The Euro is showing that out 10 days, though the GFS does have the storm moving faster at times. It could be around 7 to 8 days away on some of its recent runs if it headed that way.
The NOAA G-IV should be flying Monday. That should help the GFS at least, I forget if that data gets added to other models. Then we can see whether the model estimates the high pressure north of the storm correctly for example. The model will input the information that the sondes released from the plane gather.
Good time for people to prepare just in case they didn't prepare before the season. One thing I would recommend, to anyone who lives in an area close to the coast, maybe make sure you have a full tank of gas. With Harvey's impact on refineries, if it gets to the point where there needs to be evacuations along the coast, you don't want to be one of the many people trying to get gas at that point. I filled up a few days ago. |
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