Re: GFS 9/4 12Z and Euro 9/4 00Z - starting to align
Posted by Gianmarc on 9/4/2017, 1:04 pm
Right, 890 is a bit beyond the realm of the fathomable. Given the tremendous heat content in the waters out ahead of Irma and what apparently will be a relatively ideal upper-level environment, I think a borderline Cat 5/920mb is entirely feasible should the system steer clear of the Greater Antilles.

One thing I found interesting about the prior run of the GFS was that it seemed to intensify Irma pretty rapidly as it finally turned toward the southwest FL coast, despite prolonged interaction with Cuba. That, too, is reminiscent of Charley, although Charley wasn't over Cuba for as long as that GFS run suggested Irma would be.

But things are changing so quickly from run to run. it's dizzying.  
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GFS 9/4 12Z and Euro 9/4 00Z - starting to align - Beachlover, 9/4/2017, 12:40 pm
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