Invest 95L in the SW Gulf
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 9/4/2017, 10:33 pm
60% chance over 5 days. NHC says it "could become a tropical depression", so I'll mention it.
72 hour NHC surface forecast: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atlsfc72_latestBW.gif The "X" usually is the 96 hour forecast, which seems to show, and says, stationary. From: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/
A few models: http://hurricanecity.com/models/models.cgi?basin=al&year=2017&storm=95&latestinvest=1&display=google_map&latestrun=1
Floater: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/95L/95L_floater.html
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 4 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Irma, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands.
1. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. A trough of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers activity and gusty winds. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for slow development, and this system could become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it meanders over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi |
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Invest 95L in the SW Gulf - Chris in Tampa, 9/4/2017, 10:33 pm Post A Reply
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