Can I get some thoughts on the recent westward shift in models?
Posted by Gianmarc on 9/6/2017, 4:37 pm
Following the model runs from day to day is starting to feel like a fool's errand. I was relieved this morning to see what appeared to be a pronounced eastward shift this morning, as I live on the SW Florida coast. Now the latest Euro has shifted slightly back to the west, in which case Miami/Fort Lauderdale woukd get creamed and I'll have to take my family north. I'd like to see some thoughts on this board about the latest Euro, for what they may be worth given the exasperating shifts back and forth in the models: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2017090612&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=0

If there is this little certainty in the models and forecast track again in the morning  unfortunately I may need to plan on evacuating out of mere precaution.
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Can I get some thoughts on the recent westward shift in models? - Gianmarc, 9/6/2017, 4:37 pm
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