Hurricane City Hurricane TV CaneTalk Logo
CaneTalk Forum | Search Messages | Post a New Message | Member Map

| HurricaneCity | Tropical Atlantic | Chat Room | Board Rules




Hurricane Severity Impact (HSI) Scale by Impact Weather

Posted by cypresstx on 9/14/2017, 4:02 pm

 http://iwxsl0.impactweather.com/hsi/hsi.pdf

this is where Derek Ortt works, would love to hear his opinion on this, a must-follow:  https://twitter.com/DerekOrtt

Chris Hebert posts on our local weather board, but I truthfully have not paid much attn to their HSI scale, not sure why, just haven't

NPR did a story on Harvey & their HSI scale  http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2017/08/30/547384577/new-hurricane-index-predicted-harvey-would-be-a-monster-say-scientists

I don't see how this could hurt, the current cone is more akin to a football/baseball stat than a warning tool.  The public needs to realize what their actual danger is & not just what the odds of the forecast track beeing off are, based on PAST data

http://weatherplus.blog.palmbeachpost.com/2016/03/22/is-the-hurricane-cone-of-uncertainty-outdated-as-a-communication-tool/

In fact, during a discussion at the National Hurricane Conference in Orlando this morning, a panel that included National Hurricane Center Director Rick Knabb, questioned whether the storm forecast cone is obsolete.

The cone only deals with location, without consideration of forecast uncertainty, storm surge concerns or wind speed probabilities.
The path of Tropical Storm Erika had most of the state in its cone at one point, but never made it past Hispaniola.

The path of Tropical Storm Erika had most of the state in its cone at one point, but never made it past Hispaniola.

"I've had a long-standing problem with the cone and believe it has outlived its benefits," said Craig Setzer, a chief meteorologist for WFOR-TV in Miami and a panel member. "That was evident with Erika and Joaquin when people saw the cone five days out and believed the hurricane would be approaching the coast in that time frame."


There's no reason it can't keep the current wind category designation, just add something that's more useful in determining risk/harm

70



In this thread:

"It's Time for a 21st Century Hurricane Scale" - I so agree with him on this ! - cypresstx, 9/14/2017, 2:29 am

< Return to message board



Post A Reply

Subject:


Message:

Add Smiley:

Add Image (Tutorial):
Image URL:
Add  


Embed Video or other Social Media:
Page URL of YouTube Video: Add
Page URL of Facebook post or image (not image URL): Add
Page URL of Twitter tweet: Add
Page URL of recorded Ustream Video: Add
Page URL of Vine Video: Add
If you prefer to embed something manually for any of these sites, you can also do that. For Ustream, you can only embed live videos manually rather than using the above feature. No other sites are currently supported.

If you embed something manually please be aware that due to the security restrictions on some browsers manually entering embedded code may not allow it to appear correctly when you view it. However, after you post the message it will work properly. This will not be a problem if you use the above feature to add embedded content.