Re: Good grief - two more waves
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 9/14/2017, 5:09 pm
She was giving the formation chance through 5 days as of 2am EDT Thursday. At that time, both were 10% through 48 hours and the one closest to the Americas, now 96L had 40% chance through 5 days. One closest to Africa, now 97L, had 30% chance through 5 days as of then.

I'm not sure where you see 10%.

Formation chances as of 2pm EDT Thursday:

96L (closest to Americas):

48 hours: 20%
5 days: 70%

97L (closest to Africa):

48 hours: 60%
5 days: 70%

The NHC's front page shows 2 day formation chances. Click "5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook" to view 5 day potential formation area. You can also hover your mouse over the X's on the NHC's front page to view 5 day formation chances.
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Good grief - two more waves - Beachlover, 9/14/2017, 2:35 am
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