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2am AST Sunday: Still in the middle of nowhere, Lee rapidly strengthens into a hurricane

Posted by Chris in Tampa on 9/24/2017, 2:54 am

This was a special advisory. The small hurricane should remain only a threat to ships. A tiny eye just popped out on IR. Small storms like this can change rapidly. It could become a lot stronger.

Track:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/?cone#contents

Floater:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/14L/14L_floater.html

Other Atlantic satellite views:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html






Hurricane Lee Special Discussion Number  24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142017
200 AM AST Sun Sep 24 2017

Infrared satellite imagery indicates that an eye is developing in
Lee's central dense overcast.  This special advisory is thus being
issued to make Lee a hurricane with 65 kt winds.  The intensity
forecast has been significantly increased based on the current
intensity and trends
, and the initial wind radii have been somewhat
modified. However, the track forecast is unchanged from the
previous advisory.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  24/0630Z 31.9N  50.1W   65 KT  75 MPH
12H  24/1200Z 31.8N  50.0W   75 KT  85 MPH
24H  25/0000Z 31.5N  49.4W   85 KT 100 MPH
36H  25/1200Z 30.9N  48.9W   90 KT 105 MPH
48H  26/0000Z 30.2N  48.9W   90 KT 105 MPH
72H  27/0000Z 30.0N  50.5W   90 KT 105 MPH
96H  28/0000Z 31.5N  52.0W   85 KT 100 MPH
120H  29/0000Z 34.5N  52.5W   80 KT  90 MPH

$$
Forecaster Beven







Hurricane Lee Special Advisory Number  24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142017
200 AM AST Sun Sep 24 2017

...LEE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 230 AM AST...0630 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.9N 50.1W
ABOUT 860 MI...1385 KM E OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1370 MI...2205 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 230 AM AST (0630 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lee was located
near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 50.1 West. Lee is currently
stationary.  A drift toward the southeast is expected to begin
later today.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 36 to 48 hours.

Lee is a small hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward up
to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km).


The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

87



In this thread:

2am AST Sunday: Still in the middle of nowhere, Lee rapidly strengthens into a hurricane - Chris in Tampa, 9/24/2017, 2:54 am

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