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increased to 40% in 5-day

Posted by cypresstx on 9/28/2017, 10:35 am




http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 28 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Maria, located a few hundred miles east-northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and on Hurricane Lee, located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of Bermuda.

1. A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba to the Bahamas is associated with a broad surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. A weak area of low pressure is likely to form from this weather system while it moves northward across Cuba and near the east coast of the Florida peninsula during the next few days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for development before upper-level winds become less favorable early next week.  Regardless of development, this system is likely to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of Cuba, southern Florida, the Florida Keys, and the Bahamas during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Stewart




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tropical cyclone formation potential - cypresstx, 9/27/2017, 8:04 am

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