Eric Berger - Space City Weather
Posted by
cypresstx on 10/4/2017, 4:35 pm
https://www.facebook.com/pg/ericbergersciguy/posts/
Intensity
This is a really tricky forecast. While the depression remains over favorable waters for intensification now, and should soon become Nate, interaction with Central America could weaken it significantly. So we're not sure what kind of system comes into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend.
With that said, once there, it should find generally favorable conditions in the Gulf this weekend. The National Hurricane Center calls for an 80-mph Category 1 hurricane by Sunday morning, and that may be too conservative depending on how much time the storm remains over water. I'm not ready to rule out a small, but fairly intense hurricane. But being perfectly honest, the intensity forecast is kind of a crap shoot right now. |
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In this thread:
90L now T.D. Sixteen. TS warnings issued in parts of C. America; 2nd landfall as hurricane in US -
Chris in Tampa,
10/4/2017, 12:14 pm- Re: 90L now T.D. Sixteen. TS warnings issued in parts of C. America; 2nd landfall as hurricane in US - LawKat, 10/4/2017, 9:41 pm
- TS winds possible in Keys Fri night - cypresstx, 10/4/2017, 7:35 pm
- Re: 90L now T.D. Sixteen. TS warnings issued in parts of C. America; 2nd landfall as hurricane in US - stevemc12, 10/4/2017, 5:40 pm
- Future track? - beachman80, 10/4/2017, 5:26 pm
- Eric Berger - Space City Weather - cypresstx, 10/4/2017, 5:35 pm
- NHC TAFB - cypresstx, 10/4/2017, 4:35 pm
- NASA SPoRT - cypresstx, 10/4/2017, 4:31 pm
- 12Z Wednesday Euro is out - Chris in Tampa, 10/4/2017, 3:32 pm
- Air Force recon over half way to the storm as of about 11:30am EDT Wed - Chris in Tampa, 10/4/2017, 12:24 pm
- GOES-16 mesoscale sector 2 floater (1 minute imagery) - Chris in Tampa, 10/4/2017, 12:19 pm
- 11am EDT Wednesday NHC Discussion - Chris in Tampa, 10/4/2017, 12:16 pm
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