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Eric Berger - Space City Weather

Posted by cypresstx on 10/4/2017, 4:35 pm

https://www.facebook.com/pg/ericbergersciguy/posts/



Intensity

This is a really tricky forecast. While the depression remains over favorable waters for intensification now, and should soon become Nate, interaction with Central America could weaken it significantly. So we're not sure what kind of system comes into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend.

With that said, once there, it should find generally favorable conditions in the Gulf this weekend. The National Hurricane Center calls for an 80-mph Category 1 hurricane by Sunday morning, and that may be too conservative depending on how much time the storm remains over water. I'm not ready to rule out a small, but fairly intense hurricane. But being perfectly honest, the intensity forecast is kind of a crap shoot right now.

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In this thread:

90L now T.D. Sixteen. TS warnings issued in parts of C. America; 2nd landfall as hurricane in US - Chris in Tampa, 10/4/2017, 11:14 am

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