Hurricane City Hurricane TV CaneTalk Logo
CaneTalk Forum | Search Messages | Post a New Message | Member Map

| HurricaneCity | Tropical Atlantic | Chat Room | Board Rules




Re: Forward speed an inhibiting factor?

Posted by Chris in Tampa on 10/6/2017, 1:56 pm

I think forward speed is part of it. It's moving faster than some of the NHC forecasts.

It also needed to be smaller and have an inner core coming back over water after Honduras to take the most advantage of the deep warm water. In the first NHC discussion it said "it remains to be seen how separate the depression becomes from a larger gyre over central America". It's been too large to be able to develop very quickly over the NW Carib starting as soon as it hit water again. Also, the inner core was not well defined right when it got back over water. That's not to say it won't become a hurricane, it can easily become a hurricane as forecast, but at least it's not been rapidly strengthening over the NW Carib since getting back over water. The inner core does look to be getting better defined now, but the forward movement does seem to be keeping it from spinning as well as it could, at least so far.

Recon just leaving:



GOES-16 CONUS imagery since floaters are off it:

RAMMB/CIRA SLIDER from Colorado State:
IR: http://col.st/ic5Hl
Vis: http://col.st/h38pF

RealEarth from SSEC - UW-Madison:
IR: https://re.ssec.wisc.edu/s/iCiYj
Vis: https://re.ssec.wisc.edu/s/gCiZo

College of DuPage:
IR: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-13-24-0-100
Vis: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-0-100

169



In this thread:

Forward speed an inhibiting factor? - LawKat, 10/6/2017, 10:30 am

< Return to message board



Post A Reply

Subject:


Message:

Add Smiley:

Add Image (Tutorial):
Image URL:
Add  


Embed Video or other Social Media:
Page URL of YouTube Video: Add
Page URL of Facebook post or image (not image URL): Add
Page URL of Twitter tweet: Add
Page URL of recorded Ustream Video: Add
Page URL of Vine Video: Add
If you prefer to embed something manually for any of these sites, you can also do that. For Ustream, you can only embed live videos manually rather than using the above feature. No other sites are currently supported.

If you embed something manually please be aware that due to the security restrictions on some browsers manually entering embedded code may not allow it to appear correctly when you view it. However, after you post the message it will work properly. This will not be a problem if you use the above feature to add embedded content.