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Recon image through about 6:30pm EDT

Posted by Chris in Tampa on 10/6/2017, 7:16 pm

With Air Force mission on the way, NOAA G-IV nearly done sampling all the way around the storm and all the way up to around Mobile and NOAA P-3 in the storm itself. NOAA P-3 has actually already come through the center again since creating this image. I'll post another image shortly. NHC's cone doesn't work too well here. It could easily be outside of the cone given how fast the storm is moving. Cone is very narrow at the smaller forecast hours. With the storm moving so fast, it's almost as if it shows certainty in the track when the cone doesn't not reflect that at all from storm to storm. (About cone: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutcone.shtml)






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4pm CDT Fri; 60mph; Nate strengthening; Hurricane warning for New Orleans metro - Chris in Tampa, 10/6/2017, 5:20 pm

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