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Invest 92L could threaten Bermuda

Posted by Chris in Tampa on 10/13/2017, 4:33 pm

2pm on Friday:



Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Oct 13 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred
miles southwest of the Azores.

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles east of the
northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms, mainly to the east of the surface low.  Upper-level
winds are not expected to be conducive for significant development
during the next couple of days while the system moves west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph and passes near or north of the
Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands.  However, environmental
conditions could become a little more conducive for some development
early next week while the system begins to move northward over the
west-central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky

Outlook with formation area:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5



Floater:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92L/92L_floater.html
Wider Atlantic views: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html

Models:
http://hurricanecity.com/models/models.cgi?basin=al&year=2017&storm=92&display=google_map&latestrun=1

Euro:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=atl&pkg=z500_mslp

GFS:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=atl&pkg=z500_mslp

68



In this thread:

Invest 92L could threaten Bermuda - Chris in Tampa, 10/13/2017, 4:33 pm

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