Invest 94L - Just east of the Bahamas
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 7/21/2019, 12:18 pm
First mentioned in outlook at 2am this morning.

"Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 21 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the
Central Bahamas is producing disorganized showers and a few
thunderstorms. Some slight development is possible over the
next few days while the disturbance moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Pasch"



From:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
Could move over Bahamas and near/to the Florida coast.

NHC surface forecast from this morning, for 72 hours, doesn't show a possible tropical cyclone:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atlsfc72_latestBW_sm3.gif
From "Surface Forecasts" on this page: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/



Satellite:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=al942019
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector.php?sat=G16&sector=car
http://hurricanecity.com/custom-satellite/index.htm?lat=25&lon=-74&zoom=2

More satellite sites:

https://realearth.ssec.wisc.edu/
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/
https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/sportPublishData.pl?dataset=goeseastabiconus&product=11p20um



As of posting, GFS and Euro don't show anything.

GFS:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=watl&pkg=mslp_uv850

Euro:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=watl&pkg=mslp_uv850

Storm storm specific models:
http://hurricanecity.com/models/models.cgi?basin=al&year=2019&storm=94&latestinvest=1&display=google_map&latestrun=1
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Invest 94L - Just east of the Bahamas - Chris in Tampa, 7/21/2019, 12:18 pm
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