Recon shortly before intermediate advisory seemed to indicate it was a hurricane
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 8/25/2020, 8:03 am
Maybe it was a too close to the advisory time.
Regardless, it will be soon officially.
"Significant strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Laura is expected to be a major hurricane at landfall."
Recon data from: http://hurricanecity.com/recon/
NE quadrant:
30 second flight level: 70 knots (81 mph) ... 6:42am CDT 30 second flight level: 71 knots (82 mph) ... 6:42am CDT 10 second estimated surface winds (by SFMR instrument): 66 knots (76 mph) ... 6:46am CDT
Prior SFMR reading in preceding 30 seconds was 65 knots (75 mph)
Flagged SFMR of 66 knots shortly before.
Earlier pass...
URNT12 KWBC 251115 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL132020 A. 25/10:44:12Z B. 23.23 deg N 085.79 deg W C. 700 MB 3044 m D. 992 mb E. 265 deg 14 kt F. NA G. NA H. 42 kt I. 281 deg 24 nm 10:38:30Z J. 356 deg 30 kt K. 281 deg 16 nm 10:40:24Z L. 68 kt M. 135 deg 41 nm 10:54:24Z N. 206 deg 63 kt O. 135 deg 50 nm 10:56:43Z P. 12 C / 3065 m Q. 14 C / 3062 m R. 10 C / NA S. 12345 / 7 T. 0.01 / 3 nm U. NOAA2 1713A LAURA OB 03 MAX FL WIND 63 KT 135 / 50 NM 10:56:43Z
Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC) Transmitted: 25th day of the month at 11:15Z Agency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF) Storm Number & Year: 13 in 2020 Storm Name: Laura (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 17 Observation Number: 03
A. Time of Center Fix: 25th day of the month at 10:44:12Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 23.23N 85.79W B. Center Fix Location: 218 statute miles (351 km) to the W (272°) from Havana, Cuba. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 3,044m (9,987ft) at 700mb D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 992mb (29.30 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 265° at 14kts (From the W at 16mph) F. Eye Character: Not Available G. Eye Shape: Not Available H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 42kts (48.3mph) I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 24 nautical miles (28 statute miles) to the W/WNW (281°) of center fix at 10:38:30Z J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 356° at 30kts (From the N at 34.5mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 16 nautical miles (18 statute miles) to the W/WNW (281°) of center fix at 10:40:24Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 68kts (78.3mph) M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 41 nautical miles (47 statute miles) to the SE (135°) of center fix at 10:54:24Z N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 206° at 63kts (From the SSW at 72.5mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 50 nautical miles (58 statute miles) to the SE (135°) of center fix at 10:56:43Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,065m (10,056ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 14°C (57°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,062m (10,046ft) R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 10°C (50°F) R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Level: 700mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.01 nautical miles T. Meteorological Accuracy: 3 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 63kts (~ 72.5mph) which was observed 50 nautical miles (58 statute miles) to the SE (135°) from the flight level center at 10:56:43Z
They usually go with an SFMR reading. Even though it is 10 seconds, they usually go with it for 1 minute sustained advisory winds when it comes from a place you expect in the storm. |
38
In this thread:
Hurricane Laura -
Chris in Tampa,
8/25/2020, 7:58 am- 7:30am CDT Tuesday Facebook Video update from NHC Director Ken Graham - Chris in Tampa, 8/25/2020, 8:43 am
- update - now a hurricane - cypresstx, 8/25/2020, 8:20 am
- Ryan Maue - cypresstx, 8/25/2020, 8:18 am
- Re: Laura at 7am CDT Tuesday: 70mph - Chris in Tampa, 8/25/2020, 8:12 am
- Recon shortly before intermediate advisory seemed to indicate it was a hurricane - Chris in Tampa, 8/25/2020, 8:03 am
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