Re: intermediate advisories don't adjust the track
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/25/2020, 9:00 am
I don't really want to post too many models because at this point people in the region need to evacuate along the coast, and other areas under evacuation orders, and not rely on a model to decide whether to evacuate or not.

But I will post the GFS ensemble members for example. You can't make out the numbers, but each red number represents an ensemble member of the GFS. You can see how they are clustered all around the region, including Galveston.

You can't wait and decide what is more accurate.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens&region=watl&pkg=lowlocs
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4am CDT Tuesday: 65mph; Laura now forecast to become a major hurricane over the northwestern Gulf - Chris in Tampa, 8/25/2020, 5:01 am
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