Re: 4pm CDT Wed: 145mph; 947mb; Wind & water levels increasing as extremely dangerous Laura takes aim at NW Gulf coas
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/26/2020, 5:49 pm
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/?gm_track#contents

If you load one of these:

34kt WSP ... 39mph
50kt WSP ... 58mph
64kt WSP ... 74mph

It gives wind speed probabilities, in percent, that are color coded on the map.

Looking at the NWS point forecasts might give you some idea too.

If I look up Youngsville I get:
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=30.0996&lon=-91.9906

Under more information, click "Hourly Weather Forecast". It gives the hourly forecast, including wind speeds and gusts.

But I don't know how accurate it is for you. I see 37mph sustained and 55mph gusts.

I wanted to see what it said for near the forecast landfall.

I clicked a point on the map, to the right of where the storm is forecast to make landfall:
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-93.13951492309572&lat=29.761993109601534#.X0bX_chKiUk
For that location it is 100mph sustained and 125 mph gusts. Obviously the storm is stronger than that.

But it might just not do well with these kind of wind speeds.

I also took a look at the NWS forecast office:
https://www.weather.gov/lch/

They have a "Wind Threat" tab. I don't know if that image will change that they have but here is a SAVED copy that will not update. Check that page for the latest.



Maybe some of that helps.
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4pm CDT Wed: 145mph; 947mb; Wind & water levels increasing as extremely dangerous Laura takes aim at NW Gulf coast - Chris in Tampa, 8/26/2020, 4:58 pm
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