Tropical Storm Nicole Local Statement Advisory Number 13
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL AL172022
502 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia

**TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TODAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
for Coastal Dixie, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, and
Coastal Wakulla
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
for Coastal Franklin
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baker, Ben Hill,
Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay, Colquitt, Cook, Decatur,
Dougherty, Early, Gadsden, Grady, Inland Dixie, Inland
Franklin, Inland Jefferson, Inland Taylor, Inland Wakulla,
Irwin, Lafayette, Lanier, Lee, Leon, Liberty, Lowndes, Madison,
Miller, Mitchell, Quitman, Randolph, Seminole, Terrell, Thomas,
Tift, Turner, and Worth

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 260 miles southeast of St Marks
- 27.8N 80.7W
- Storm Intensity 70 mph
- Movement West-northwest or 295 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

** TROPICAL STORM NICOLE TO PASS ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT **

** PREPARATIONS FOR NICOLE SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION **

Tropical Storm Nicole made landfall along the coast of east-central
Florida earlier this morning. The center will move northwest today,
passing the Florida Big Bend region late this afternoon and this
evening. Nicole will turn northward through southwest Georgia early
Friday morning. Nicole is producing a large area of tropical storm
force winds, especially north of the center, so tropical storm force
winds will arrive well in advance of the center. Tropical storm
conditions will begin along the Big Bend coast around daybreak today,
spreading northward past I-10 and through Southwest Georgia from late
this morning into this evening. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect
for all counties east of the Apalachicola and Chattahoochee Rivers,
which includes the Florida Big Bend and all of southwest Georgia.

Dangerous storm surge is possible along the shorelines of Apalachee
Bay. Normally dry land near the shoreline could experience 3 to 5 feet
of inundation. Storm Surge Watches remain in effect from Indian Pass
to the Ochlockonee River. Storm Surge Warnings remain in effect from
the Ochlockonee River to the mouth of the Suwannee River.

Heavy rainfall of 2 to 3 inches will be a concern for all areas east
of a line from Dothan to Apalachicola. A lack of recent rainfall will
allow the ground to absorb some of the heavy rain. Torrential rainfall
rates will be the main contributor to localized flash flooding.

Isolated tornadoes are possible east of the I-75 corridor in south
Georgia.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and
southwestern Georgia. Potential impacts include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across from the Ochlockonee River to the mouth of the Suwannee
River. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts along the shore of Franklin County.

Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend,
southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts along
and east of the I-75 corridor of South Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend,
southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts east of a line from Dothan to Apalachicola. Potential impacts
include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, and ditches
overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across northwest Florida and southeast Alabama.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles can
be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge zone.
Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find yourself
cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed evacuation
orders issued by the local authorities.

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not prone
to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 11 AM EST, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$