Re: from my "uneducated view"
Posted by
Mike_Doran on 7/18/2009, 2:45 am
Thanks.
A few things worth stating.
In 1997-8 I was living in Los Angeles during the 500 year El Nino. Rain came down one day so hard it sounded like a train and filled a 5 gallon wastebasket full of water. Having grown up in Minnesota, I was amazed by this rain. I have had a funnel cloud that eventually killed a few miles away go right over my head in Minnesota, so I know what severe weather and hard rain is. But this rain was ridiculas. I began researching and debating weather and climate. I also started to debate on several climate change bbs. I debated on an early CNN bb and the New York Times bb. On the NY Times bb I debated every day for five years with an operational meteorologist on the climate change thread. Every day. Until 2003 when I called a tropical storm 45 days out. That's right, 45 days out. He called it using a model 4 days out. I began to taunt him that the score was 45-4 and he didn't like that. Sometimes I cannot help being competitive. This is when I was starting to use electrics and strike images. You think the ideas are garbled now--in 2003 it was really bad. I always could see the answer before I could write the math behind it--like that in college even taking 5000 level math courses. I am no dummy--I was a National Merit Scholar in High School and I passed the hardest Bar Exam in the nation on my first try. But this is not easy stuff to think about. I also am very weird in that my father was a meteorologist in the USAF when I was born, and when my daughter was born and I was at home watching her (babies sleep alot), and the better half was at work, I would turn on the weather channel and literally stare for hours at cloud patterns that would come up on radar and see if I could 'see' patterns. So I will admit I am a really weird person who finds that kind of thing interesting.
My views back when I first started debating climate change were very much like Mr. Williams here. I was a warmer, taken in by what I had seen with my own eyes with the big El Nino. Also I am a pretty good researcher, and the internet offered a lot of material to read up on in the climate change debate. And also as I have pointed out, years ago when I was in the military my job involved electronics. So the electrics thing was always there, but it wasn't part of the debate at first. At some point I could mouth the words of a 'skeptic' as well if not better than a skeptic could, and, of course, the warmers arguments had been mine. From there, the electrics ideas began to formulate, and the did so with a mountain of research that was coming in from a number of directions. Then the tools -- the strike data images in real time, like from lightningstorm.com started to come in.
So let me give you an example. When I post here about the rising SOI index, and how it causes there to be a regional potential difference that supports a tropical storm or severe weather, I have seen with my own eyes lightning patterns rise in the CONUS from lightning storm dot com with that index moving.
And so when I mentioned that Dolores probably was behind, generally, an increase in strikes in the CONUS, it was also in the context of the SOI index FALLING (and sure enough a WPAC storm starting to RI), so THAT wasn't the cause of all those strikes. There is some complexity involved.
What I try to do is back up what my views are with links and data. Everyone it seems has opinions, and I try not to disrespect other posters and there ideas and when I do debate, which I am not shy about, I like to back up my bs with some facts. It doesn't bother me that Doug is a skeptic in the least, nor that Tom wants to ignore me. I have had way worse things said about me and even my ideas.
It's okay. A good idea is like butter in cream. When you churn it around, like butter, it always comes to the top. |
16
In this thread:
Near-Constant Lightning/Thunder -
B-Lowcountry,
7/16/2009, 8:40 pm Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.