About 96 Hrs Out
Posted by JAC on 8/7/2009, 7:52 am
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
824 PM HST THU AUG 6 2009

HURRICANE FELICIA CONTINUES TO BE THE MAIN FOCUS OF ATTENTION TO
START THE NIGHT SHIFT. SHE IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1400 MILES ESE
OF THE BIG ISLAND MOVING WNW AROUND 10 KT WITH MAX WINDS OF 115 KT
GUSTING TO 140 KT PER THE 0300 UTC NHC ADVISORY. FELICIA IS EXPECTED
TO NEAR THE ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING INCREASED
WINDS...POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND WARNING LEVEL
SHORT/MID PERIOD SURF ALONG WINDWARD SHORES. OVERALL THE CURRENT
FCST LOOKS ON TRACK NOT EXPECTING ANY LARGE CHANGES ON THE NIGHT
SHIFT. WILL DO MY BEST TO FINE TUNE SOME OF THE LONGER TERM
POPS/WX/WINDS AS THE OFFICIAL FCST TRACK/INTENSITY FOR FELICIA
ADJUSTED IN 07/09Z AND 07/15Z ADVISORY PACKAGES. ONCE FELICIA PASSES
THRU THE AREA...TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN DURING THE SECOND HALF
OF THE WEEK.














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Felicia - SSTs & Shear will rule. Strong ULL NE of HI - JAC, 8/6/2009, 8:21 am
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