Re: Florida is in the 5 day cone
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/15/2009, 4:53 am
The NHC discussion shows the models issues with intensity, from dissipation to category two hurricane.

"THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE RUNS THE
FULL SPECTRUM THIS MORNING...WITH THE GFDL DISSIPATING THE
SYSTEM...WHILE THE HWRF SHOWS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE BY THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD."

The HWRF was eventually supposed to replace the GFDL I thought, but look at the difference between them!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/index_namer.shtml
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Florida is in the 5 day cone - gi_metro13w, 8/15/2009, 12:42 am
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