I think that ill-understood factor of intensity could be a key for Ericka's direction
Posted by
jack ruby on 9/1/2009, 8:13 pm
| Notice that the five day forecast by the NHC brings Ericka generally toward the Bahamas as a strong tropical storm (not yet a hurricane in five days), then beginning to get scooped up by troughing off the east coast. At this point, hard to disagree, since I've said myself that for at least the next 2-3 days I don't expect any strong intensification. But if Ericka should surprise, and become stronger than expected, we might see upper level high pressure over her, make it more difficult for the trough to give her a sharp turn north. Also, if she does strengthen, that might be an indication that the ridge to her north has also strengthened and expanded west some. What does this mean. I think the SE US (particularly central Fl-Charleston SC) needs to keep a close watch. Just my opinion. And it is very early. Going out on a limb. |
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I think that ill-understood factor of intensity could be a key for Ericka's direction - jack ruby, 9/1/2009, 8:13 pm
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