Re: GFDL 12Z Run
Posted by JAC on 9/2/2009, 2:28 pm
Every run CMC and GFS does is a continuous push south.

That swirl west of Guadalope looks like it is moving straight west.

I think Erika is throwing everyone for a loop in that the big MCS bursts are being interperted as a TC.

This could still have the "wave" due-west momentum going for it.

Especially, check the MIMIC-TPW roll.
It's consolidating south.

I looked at the latest UL GFS forecasts.
700mb winds are straight west.
500mb has a ridge building in the Bahamas 120 hrs out.
Jury still out at 300mb.

Been there, done that, seen it before.


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Is Erika a Caribbean Girl? - JAC, 9/2/2009, 1:34 pm
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