Re: dry air slides west
Posted by JAC on 9/14/2009, 9:06 am
Tom:

I see it.

But, the convection is shear driven MCS; not TC-type convection.

CMC still likes it; but GFS now kills it.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2009091406&field=950mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation

NAEFS, which is a new blend of CMC-ensemble and GFS-ensemble, shows nothing in the future.

I just saw a presentation on NAEFS, and it has the best skill of either of the two models.

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/cartes_e.html




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Fred....has a pulse - Doorman, 9/13/2009, 5:16 pm
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