Re: Latest SHIPS Forecast
Posted by JAC on 6/12/2010, 11:52 pm
SHIPS & CMC so far seem to be the most aggressive.

GFDL is keeping it as a TS.

HWRF hardly develops it.

From CMC's shear forecast, it shows a steady anticyclone over it.
It is having the NW jet stay on its NW flank; thus maintaining an enhanced outflow channel and accounting for its RI.

IMHO, the jet will be key.

Either it will kill it or strengthen it.

Depends a lot on how it tracks relative to the jet.




http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/index_250_mu_loop.shtml

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Invest 92L Is Up - CX, 6/12/2010, 5:39 pm
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