![]() PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0317 AM CDT SUN JUN 20 2010 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS...AND OVER THE LOWER MISSOURI AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY... THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER A SIZABLE PORTION OF THE NORTH CENTRAL STATES LATER TODAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE IOWA FAR SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA FAR NORTHERN MISSOURI MUCH OF NEBRASKA MUCH OF SOUTH DAKOTA SURROUNDING THE AREA OF GREATEST RISK...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE PLAINS INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. THE WEATHER PATTERN THAT HAS FOSTERED THE DEVELOPMENT OF NUMEROUS CLUSTERS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES IN RECENT DAYS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY. THIS PATTERN FEATURES A BAND OF SEASONABLY STRONG JET STREAM WINDS EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER OHIO VALLEYS. A DISTURBANCE IN THE JET STREAM FLOW...NOW OVER UTAH...WILL REACH NEBRASKA AND SOUTH DAKOTA THIS EVENING...BEFORE TURNING EAST INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY MONDAY. ASCENT WITH THE UPPER DISTURBANCE...AND THE CONTINUING PRESENCE OF VERY WARM AND HUMID AIR ALONG THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE JET STREAM...LIKELY WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERAL WAVES OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS FROM THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS EAST-SOUTHEAST INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ANYWHERE ACROSS THIS REGION BETWEEN NOW AND MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THE MOST INTENSE STORMS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WIND...SHOULD FORM OVER NEBRASKA AND SOUTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORMS LIKELY WILL MERGE INTO ONE OR MORE LARGE...LONG-LASTING CLUSTERS THAT SUBSEQUENTLY MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST INTO IOWA...NORTHERN MISSOURI...AND ILLINOIS. THESE CLUSTERS WILL POSE A CONTINUED RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND...HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY. ..CORFIDI.. 06/20/2010 |