moving at 10kts
Posted by CypressTX on 6/26/2010, 7:16 pm
Advisory #5

000
WTNT21 KNHC 262030
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012010
2100 UTC SAT JUN 26 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN
* THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF
HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  87.8W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE  20SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  87.8W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  87.3W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.7N  89.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.0N  92.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N  93.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.5N  95.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 22.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 22.0N 101.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  87.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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In this thread:
Any chance for RI today??? - JAC, 6/26/2010, 7:30 am
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