Re: Tropical Storm Alex: 10PM CDT Advisory: 45 mph; 991 mb; WNW at 7 mph
Posted by
jack ruby on 6/27/2010, 10:59 pm
Still wondering if the obvious under-estimating of future intensity (HWRF-GFDL) has anything to do with a more westerly course prediction. Meanwhile the models which take it further north seem to show a stronger cyclone as well. From the NHC Discussion
IT IS STILL PUZZLING THAT THE GFDL/HWRF DO NOT SHOW ALEX STRENGTHENING TO MORE THAN A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. STATISTICAL GUIDANCE...ON THE OTHER HAND...CONTINUES TO FORECAST A STRONGER TROPICAL CYCLONE |
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