Re: Someone tell Alex he is over land now
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 7/1/2010, 12:38 am
They might be hesitant to make it any stronger since the winds were lagging behind the pressure and recon was there nearly to the end before landfall even though it showed increased organization. Good thing for Mexico, apparently that area is sparsely populated. But, that also means we don't have a lot of land based stations. That 105 mph at landfall they kind of just added even though recon didn't necessarily support it, but I can see adding that extra 5 as it did increase in organization and still looks great. Taking that extra 5 mph away though was a mistake though in my opinion. Their only reasoning for that:

"THE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 85 KT IS BASED ON AN ASSUMED SLIGHT
DECREASE SINCE LANDFALL."

On several occasions storms we have seen some odd things happen over land. The eyewall is still partly over water and until it is a little more on land, some storms I think still have enough energy and access to just enough energy  to sustain themselves for just a little longer and even sometimes strengthen. I can think of several examples, although I think most of them were over swampy areas.

So Alex just might have gained another 5 mph but with a lack of evidence, I'm not sure what they would do. I didn't follow satellite estimates closely with this storm. If that had increased more than about 5 mph after recon left, then maybe they would consider adding some post season.

I'm not sure if NOAA investigates damage in other countries.
43
In this thread:
Someone tell Alex he is over land now - Chris in Tampa, 7/1/2010, 12:09 am
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.