CaneTalk: Re: GOM: OK For Now But???

Re: GOM: OK For Now But???

Posted by Gianmarc on 7/3/2010, 5:10 pm

I am always hesitant to go by the CMC for a glimpse into the tropical future because it continues to be by far the most aggressive model. Last run I looked at earlier this morning seemed to spin up at least four separate systems at once, including two off the eastern seaboard.

I do see suggestions about GOM development sometime over the current forecast period though which lends it more credibility IMO.

A lot of conditions need to clear out of the GOM first though--lots of dry air, shear and stalled trough issues to deal with. It is not a terribly favorable environment at the moment, as we're seeing with 95L which appears to have a surface low but is getting choked to death and battling shear.

132

In this thread:

GOM: OK For Now But??? - JAC, 7/3/2010, 4:48 pm

Yellow Box - Mid Carib - JAC, 7/3/2010, 7:57 pm
- Re: Yellow Box - Mid Carib - CX, 7/3/2010, 8:01 pm
  - UL almost as good as Alex was near this point - JAC, 7/3/2010, 9:52 pm
Re: GOM: OK For Now But??? - Gianmarc, 7/3/2010, 5:10 pm
Re: GOM: OK For Now But??? - DTB_2009, 7/3/2010, 4:54 pm
- Re: GOM: OK For Now But??? - JAC, 7/3/2010, 5:10 pm
- Re: GOM: OK For Now But??? - tracker, 7/3/2010, 5:10 pm
  - Re: GOM: OK For Now But??? - martyintampa, 7/3/2010, 6:19 pm
    - Re: GOM: OK For Now But??? - canetrakker, 7/3/2010, 6:37 pm
      - Re: GOM: OK For Now But??? - Jackstraw, 7/3/2010, 7:50 pm
      - Re: GOM: OK For Now But??? - CypressTX, 7/3/2010, 7:03 pm
        from out of the shadows???? - Doorman, 7/3/2010, 8:55 pm
        Re: from out of the shadows???? - Jackstraw, 7/3/2010, 9:56 pm
        Re: from out of the shadows???? - chucky7777, 7/4/2010, 3:01 am
        96L ... Bayou Vista? Major? - Target, 7/4/2010, 3:41 am
        jinxed n/t - CypressTX, 7/4/2010, 6:01 am

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