12Z GFS had it spinning up tomorrow
Posted by JAC on 7/10/2010, 10:29 pm
It was dropped on the 18Z GFS

Nothing on CMC or EURO.

BTW, Euro is firing one off in about 100 hrs off the coast.

With the building Azore High during the first half of the week, this will stay low and avoid SAL.

Also, King TUTT is forecast to stay in place this week.

So, I am thinking this will flare up around the 50-yard line with shear-induced MCS's on the SE side of the TUTT.

Need to see if a warm core develops at that point.

If so, it could spin up on the SW side of the TUTT where there will be a ridge and possible enhanced outflow channel.

Moving out with ITCZ that has shifted more north and strong 850mb vorticity to the north.

Looks like a roll may be starting up on MIMIC-TPW.



























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Rolling off the dark continent... - Chris in Tampa, 7/10/2010, 6:45 pm
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