CaneTalk: Re: NAM fires up the GOM

Re: NAM fires up the GOM

Posted by Jake on 7/13/2010, 10:32 pm

Jac,

I will go on the record and say this amount of intensification from the NAM will not occur.
The model is suffering major convective feedback. Even if shear values decrease, there's no source AKA (850mb vorticity). Yesterday's convection was induced upper level divergence.

Just alittle take from Jake.

In this thread:

NAM fires up the GOM - JAC, 7/13/2010, 12:38 pm

Re: NAM fires up the GOM - Jake, 7/13/2010, 10:32 pm
- Re: NAM fires up the GOM - JAC, 7/13/2010, 10:39 pm
  - Re: NAM fires up the GOM - Conclue, 7/14/2010, 12:20 am
84 Hrs Out - JAC, 7/13/2010, 12:56 pm
The Setup - JAC, 7/13/2010, 12:47 pm
- Correction - here's the shear forecast - JAC, 7/13/2010, 12:49 pm
  - Re: Correction - here's the shear forecast - DougInBrevardForce10, 7/13/2010, 2:18 pm
    - Re: Awfully early Doug n/t - jack ruby, 7/13/2010, 3:05 pm
      - Shear - Hurricanelov3r, 7/13/2010, 3:26 pm

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