Re: Truth be told---I'm surprised they went to the red circle
Posted by jack ruby on 7/20/2010, 6:28 pm
I may very well be wrong, but 97L doesn't impress me right now. The actual "center" or wave axis is west of all that thunderstorm activity. Its already over the north coast of the Dominican Republic. I see no hints at all of any westward developing wind or even a hint of much of a LLC. Could be wrong--but I don't see immediate development--and the interaction with land will make it even less likely. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. But I look for west over Cuba before any chance of development in the Gulf. Here's the WV Loop. At this point, it looks pretty sloppy to me.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-wv.html
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Current model trajectory ... - LawKat, 7/20/2010, 5:13 pm
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