Key West NWS Discussion
Posted by JAC on 7/22/2010, 7:09 am
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
433 AM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

FOR TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE RATHER
DISORGANIZED AND SHOWING NO SIGNS OF A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION AT
PRESENT...WILL CONTINUE TO BASE THE FORECAST ON THE IDEA OF AN OPEN
WAVE OR POSSIBLY A WEAK SURFACE LOW PASSING THROUGH THE KEYS REGION
ON FRIDAY. WITH THE TUTT EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AHEAD OF THE
WAVE...THERE MAY BE SOME OPPORTUNITY FOR CONVECTION TO DEVELOP IN A
MORE SYMMETRICAL MANNER ABOUT THE WAVE AXIS.
..RATHER THAN BEING
LARGELY DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE WAVE AS IS THE CASE PRESENTLY.
WITH THIS IN MIND...WILL RAMP POPS UP THROUGH CHANCE TONIGHT BECOMING
LIKELY TOWARD FRIDAY MORNING. WILL ALSO RAISE POPS TO LIKELY ON
FRIDAY. WOULD EXPECT SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO AFFECT
THE KEYS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH
SOME GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
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Respect the Roll - JAC, 7/22/2010, 6:20 am
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