Re: Really like the chances of the more distant wave
Posted by jack ruby on 7/29/2010, 2:33 pm
I think that in the long term conditions are quite a bit more favorable for the more distant wave (marked 20%). I look for this system to become a strong tropical storm (at least) while still in the open Atlantic.The closer system is probably in a climatologically more favored area (entering Lesser Antilles) and it is starting to get its act together (somewhat). But I think it will be encountering less than ideal (although not totally hostile conditions) in the Carribean. So it may be on the development path, but I think it will be something of a struggle. However, the more distant wave already seems better organized than the first, and will have a large swath of ocean to traverse where conditions are more favorable than what is available for the first.
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2 p.m. Tropical Weather Outlook..... NHC - chucky7777, 7/29/2010, 2:01 pm
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