Latest San Juan Discussion
Posted by
JAC on 8/3/2010, 8:12 am
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
531 AM AST TUE AUG 3 2010
ALL OF THE MODELS CURVE COLIN NORTHWARD...WHICH WOULD PLACE COLIN
DUE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AT 24.5 NORTH BY EARLY MORNING FRIDAY.
COLIN HAS MOVED TOWARD 283 DEGREES AT 25 KTS DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS. IT IS NOT CLEAR WHY IT IS FORECAST TO CURVE SO MUCH GIVEN
THE LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL HIGH...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
THE SPEED AT WHICH IT IS MOVING. AND IF IT DID NOT CHANGE COURSE
IT WOULD CROSS INTO THE CARIBBEAN NEAR GUADELOUPE. IT MAY BE
SPECULATED THAT FOR THIS REASON THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS
STATED THAT INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF COLIN. REGARDLESS OF ACTUAL TRACK AT THIS
POINT MOISTURE FROM COLIN BEING PULLED IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST WILL
KEEP THE AREA MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WET THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH
SOME CLEARING ON SATURDAY. BETTER SHOWERS RETURN ON TUESDAY AS AN
AREA OF MOISTURE AT LOWER LEVELS EXTENDING AT LEAST UP THROUGH 700
MB ENTERS THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND IS FOLLOWED BY THE REMNANTS OF A
TROPICAL WAVE LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY.
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