HPC Discussion
Posted by
JAC on 8/13/2010, 8:31 am
TROPICAL DISCUSSION - INTERNATIONAL DESKS NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 642 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2010
ON THE MEDIUM TO LONG RANGE...LOOKING UPSTREAM OVER THE ATLANTIC...MODELS SHOW THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AT 250/500 HPA LIFTING NORTH TOWARDS THE AZORES...PAVING THE WAY FOR A BROAD/DEEP TUTT OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC TO RETROGRESS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. AS THE PATTERN EVOLVES...VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS LIKELY TO EBB...THUS MAKING IT MORE CONDUCIVE TO CYCLONE FORMATION. THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE IS RESPONDING TO THIS SCENARIO...AS THEY ARE STARTING TO SHOW RISK OF CYCLONES DEVELOPING OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE LARGE DIFFERENCES AMONG THE MODELS ON THE TIMING...THE RISK OF FORMATION IS WHAT COUNTS.
DISCUSSION FROM AUG 11/0000 UTC. ISSUED
ESCALON... (HONDURAS) NARANJO...IMN (COSTA RICA) DAVISON...NCEP (USA)
|
69
In this thread:
A Couple Bad Boys over Africa -
JAC,
8/11/2010, 6:19 am- HPC Discussion - JAC, 8/13/2010, 8:31 am
- GFS puts it in the water in about 100 hrs - JAC, 8/13/2010, 7:17 am
- Atlantic High Pressure Shift Next Week - JAC, 8/12/2010, 7:39 am
- CMC and GFS firing one off about 140 hrs out - JAC, 8/12/2010, 7:30 am
- Desert Rains - JAC, 8/12/2010, 7:17 am
- Re: A Couple Bad Boys over Africa - BobbiStorm, 8/11/2010, 9:31 am
- PGI28L Already Tagged. GFS shows recurve into Spain - JAC, 8/11/2010, 7:31 am
- Where did SAL go? - JAC, 8/11/2010, 6:26 am
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.