Interesting snippet from the 11 p.m. forecast discussion hurricane Earl.......
Posted by chucky7777 on 9/1/2010, 11:07 pm
...NHC LINK....THE EYE OF THE HURRICANE WOBBLED NORTHWARD A COUPLE OF HOURS
AGO...HOWEVER THE MEAN MOTION APPEARS TO BE ABOUT 330/16. NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST TRACK OR
SYNOPTIC REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY PACKAGE...ALTHOUGH
THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS FORECAST HAS NUDGED EASTWARD ABOUT 20 N
MI ON THIS CYCLE. EARL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH AND SLIGHTLY EAST OF NORTH AS IT MOVES ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
THEREAFTER...A STRONG 500 MB TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
SHOULD CAUSE THE HURRICANE TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND
ACCELERATE.  ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK OF
THIS LARGE AND INTENSE HURRICANE.  SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE LIKELY
TO BE FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER.
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a shift west ? - nyjames11955, 9/1/2010, 7:16 pm
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