Latest discusion NWS Upyon ,NY
Posted by
Fred on 9/2/2010, 8:00 am
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
INCREASING HIGH/MID CLOUDS TONIGHT WITH OUTFLOW FROM EARL. DRY CONDS
EXPECTED WITH SUBSIDENCE PRECEDING AND WESTWARD EXTENSION OF
SUBTROPICAL RIDGING AND MOST IF NOT ALL MODEL SOLUTIONS KEEP ANY QPF
JUST TO OUR SOUTH BY FRIDAY MORNING.
THEREAFTER...HURRICANE EARL STILL FORECAST TO PASS TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE AREA...SOMEWHERE NEAR THE 40/70 BENCHMARK. MODEL TRACK
GUIDANCE GENERALLY CLUSTERED OVER THE BENCHMARK.
PLEASE REFER TO LATEST TPC FORECAST WITH REGARD TO HURRICANE EARL.
EARL/S BIGGEST IMPACT WILL BE ALONG THE COAST...WITH BATTERING
WAVES...SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION...AND POSSIBLE WASHOVERS. THE
GREATEST THREAT FOR TIDAL FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE ALONG THE EASTERN
AND SOUTHERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND AND NORTH SHORE OF LI WITH COMBINED
SURGE AND NE/N WINDS.
HIGHEST PROB FOR TROP STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN LI
AND SE CT (AND NEARSHORE WATERS)...CLOSEST TO TRACK OF EARL.
EXPECTING A SHARP WEST TO EAST GRADIENT IN TERMS OF HEAVY RAIN.
COULD EASILY SEE 1-3 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY AND
EXTREME SE CONN...1/4 TO 1/3 INCH IN THE CITY...AND BARELY A DROP
TO THE WEST IN NERN NJ AND ORANGE COUNTY. HEAVIEST RAIN POTENTIAL
FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING.
THE WORST WIND/RAIN CONDS EXPECTED FRIDAY EVE AS EARL TRACKS IN THE
VICINITY OF THE 40/70 BENCHMARK...THEN NORTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY.
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Latest discusion NWS Upyon ,NY - Fred, 9/2/2010, 8:00 am Post A Reply
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