I love my local NWS met's discussions.
Posted by
ricksterpr on 9/8/2010, 7:09 am
Stright to the pint, no wishcasting, calls it like he sees it. His take on future Igor:
OVER THE NEXT 6-8 DAYS...WE`LL BE ALSO WATCHING WHAT IS LIKELY TO
BECOME A VERY LARGE AND POWERFUL CAPE VERDE HURRICANE TO BE NAMED
"IGOR" AS GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BEEN UNANIMOUSLY PREDICTING OVR THE
PAST SVRL DAYS AND WHICH NHC HAS DESIGNATED AS INVEST 91L WITH A
50% CHANCE OF TC FORMATION IN THE NEXT 48 HRS. THIS SYSTEM STILL
6-8 DAYS FROM THREATENING ANY LAND AREAS. THE 08/00Z ECMWF BRINGS
THIS SYSTEM TO 20N AND 60W AND FARTHEST WEST THAN ANY OF THE REST
OF THE GLOBAL MODELS. RECURVATURE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DEPEND ON
THE EVOLUTION/AMPLIFICATION OF A POLAR TROUGH FCST TO TAKE PLACE
EARLY NEXT WEEK ACROSS ERN NOAM WHICH ECMWF SHOWS THE LEAST
AMPLIFICATION AND GFS SHOWS THE STRONGEST. STILL MANY DAYS OUT
WITH A LOT OF ROOM FOR ERRORS IN THE MODELS.
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I love my local NWS met's discussions. - ricksterpr, 9/8/2010, 7:09 am Post A Reply
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