Re: GFS long range
Posted by Arborist on 9/20/2010, 9:11 pm
Dr. Master's take:

The NOGAPS, ECMWF, and GFS models have been predicting development of a strong tropical disturbance or tropical depression in the Central Caribbean 6 - 9 days from now. However, the timing, location, and track of the potential development have been inconsistent from run to run. We should merely take note of the fact that these models predict that the Caribbean will be ripe for tropical storm development late this week and early next week, and not put much faith in the specifics of these highly unreliable long-range forecasts.
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Next Possible Cyclone - Jake, 9/20/2010, 6:01 pm
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