Official Cast
Posted by
JAC on 9/23/2010, 2:00 pm
Atlantic Tropical Depression FIFTEEN Special Discussion Number 1
Thu, 23 Sep 2010 12:50:09 -0500
000
WTNT45 KNHC 231749
TCDAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010
200 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2010
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT THIS AFTERNOON FOUND
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA HAS DEVELOPED A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION AND WINDS
SUFFICIENT TO CLASSIFY THIS SYSTEM AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/13. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND STEADILY STRENGTHEN FOR THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PASS OVER OR NEAR THE COASTS OF NORTHEASTERN
NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS.
A MORE DETAILED DISCUSSION WILL BE PROVIDED IN THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY ISSUED AT 2100 UTC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 23/1800Z 13.9N 76.2W 30 KT
12HR VT 24/0000Z 14.1N 77.5W 35 KT
24HR VT 24/1200Z 14.7N 80.3W 40 KT
36HR VT 25/0000Z 15.4N 83.0W 50 KT
48HR VT 25/1200Z 15.9N 85.1W 60 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 26/1200Z 16.9N 87.8W 70 KT...OVER WATER
96HR VT 27/1200Z 18.0N 88.4W 70 KT...INLAND
120HR VT 28/1200Z 19.5N 87.5W 70 KT...INLAND
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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Looks good to go! -
canetrakker,
9/23/2010, 1:52 pm Post A Reply
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