Hurricane research, Caribbean and Eastcoast
Posted by
Fred on 9/24/2010, 11:38 am
As you know once in awhile I like to do some research.well yesterday I wanted to see how the seaon went before Long Island hits.first checked 1984(year before gloria),1975(year before Belle) and 1959(tear before Donna) and noticed The Caribbean sea only had 1 storm the years before long island hits...so decide to go back to 1900 and get all the years when the Caribbean Sea had one or less storms,then checked the next year and found out most of the time the Eastcoast of the United States is hit by a Hurricane..here is what came up with
http://www.hurricanes-blizzards-noreasters.../carribean.html
The percentage are at the bottom of the link listed above..but will break it down here
When the Carribean has less the 2(zero or 1) named storms in a season, the following season the Eastcoast gets hit by a Hurricane 73.1% of the time(30/41)
when there are zero storm in Caribbean during in a season,the following season the Eastcoast gets hit by a Hurricane 70.5% of the time(12/17)
when there is only 1 named system in the Caribbean in a seaon,the following season the Eastcoast gets hit by a Hurricane 75% of the time(18/24)
compared to,when the Caribbean has 2 or more name systems in a season,the following season the Eastcoast gets hit by a Hurricane 42.6%(29/68)
So in conclusion,the Eastcoast has a better chance of getting hit by a hurricane when there is less the 2 named storms in the Caribbean the year before
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Hurricane research, Caribbean and Eastcoast - Fred, 9/24/2010, 11:38 am Post A Reply
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