Monsoon? Nicole? Something else?
Posted by
Skip Wiley on 9/25/2010, 7:25 pm
Every thing I can find points to something coming to visit us in Fla next week (with apologies to the rest of the Southern Snobbery Club)
Jeff Masters- "Most of the models continue to predict that by Wednesday, the remnants of Matthew, and/or a piece of a tropical disturbance over the Eastern Pacific off the coast of Guatemala, will evolve into a huge and very wet low pressure system that will start spinning over Central America and the Western Caribbean. NHC has been referring to this expected storm as a "monsoon low", and these sorts of storms are very dangerous for Central America and the Western Caribbean, even if they do not develop into a tropical storm."
The much aligned CMC solution
![](http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/cmc/2010092512/850vort22.png)
126 hour GFS
![](http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/gfs/2010092512/850vort21.png)
The humble, no-frills NoGaps at 144 hrs
![](http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ngp/2010092512/850vort24.png)
Even the Euro which did a bad job with Matthew
![](http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!168!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2010092512!!/)
GFDL phase
![](http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfdl/matthew15l/fcst/archive/10092512/1.phase1.png)
Thoughts??? |
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Monsoon? Nicole? Something else? - Skip Wiley, 9/25/2010, 7:25 pm Post A Reply
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