| http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc5.html (should link to newest update I think) STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 02 FOR HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 500 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010 ...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC... FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT INCLUDING NEW HAMPSHIRE...WESTERN CONNECTICUT AND FAR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS. FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. HIGH WIND WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN LONG ISLAND NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...INCLUDING CONNECTICUT AND MASSACHUSETTS. A HIGH WIND WATCH WAS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF MAINE. FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV AT 400 PM EDT...A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS DRAPED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE FROM JUST OFFSHORE OF MARYLAND AND DELAWARE SOUTHWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A WEAK 1008 MB AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE FRONT WAS CENTERED NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS. A PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE WAS SPREADING NORTHWARD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE. AS THE MOISTURE INTERACTS WITH THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED FROM SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO MARYLAND. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. RAINFALL RATES AS HIGH AS ONE INCH PER HOUR HAVE OCCURRED IN THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT TUE SEP 28 THROUGH 200 PM EDT WED SEP 29... ...NORTH CAROLINA... WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO. ARPT 3.36 HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP 2.36 SILVER LAKE 1.3 NE 2.10 KILL DEVIL HILLS 0.6 S 2.06 NEW RIVER MCAS 1.99 SOUTHERN PINES/MOORE CO. ARPT 1.84 JACKSONVILLE/ELLIS AIRPORT 1.79 NEW BERN/CRAVEN CO. ARPT 1.75 ROCKY MOUNT-WILSON ARPT 1.08 ...VIRGINIA... WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT 2.45 NEWPORT NEWS/WILLIAMSBURG INL AP 1.36 FORT EUSTIS/FELKER 1.25 LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 1.12 SEVERAL AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE CAROLINAS AND INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES THROUGH THURSDAY. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WILL ALSO MOVE NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST BY LATE THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO FOCUS NEAR THE LOW PRESSURE TRACK AND ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE TROPICS SURGES NORTHWARD. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. HIGHER AMOUNTS OF SIX TO TEN INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD TO THE CHESAPEAKE BAY. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 TO 45 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND AS THE MAIN SURFACE LOW MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHEAST. THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT. RYAN |