CaneTalk: Circulation working its way to the surface

Circulation working its way to the surface

Posted by JAC on 10/19/2010, 6:17 am

Structure is looking better.

850mb vorticity has improved.

It looks like the PV is working its way to the surface which started a few days ago at 500mb.

The peristant convection & stratiform precip has developed a warm core and an anti-cyclone is over head.

Most likely the tropopause should continue to rise.

As a result IMHO, there is a good chance this could get a surface circulation going.

From what I see on the latest sounding at 15N 85W, I suspect in the afternoon, as before in this area, surface heating of the landmass could destabilze the air and deep convection could fire and kick up 99L.

In this thread:

invest 99L - jimw, 10/16/2010, 9:21 pm

Recon Report: NHC ups to 70% - JAC, 10/19/2010, 4:57 pm
- Small Flare in the ADT Bulls-eye - JAC, 10/19/2010, 5:05 pm
Not bad on VIS 17N 83W - JAC, 10/19/2010, 12:10 pm
Globals spin up in the next day or two - JAC, 10/19/2010, 6:46 am
Circulation working its way to the surface - JAC, 10/19/2010, 6:17 am
- Juice Loop - JAC, 10/19/2010, 6:27 am
  - nice little swirl at 35 - BobbiStorm, 10/19/2010, 2:23 pm
Re: invest 99L - hanna, 10/17/2010, 12:58 pm
- HWRF Suggests Cat 2 by Friday - Target, 10/17/2010, 6:15 pm
  - 13N82W (Invest 99L) Pics - Target, 10/17/2010, 9:24 pm
  - Re: HWRF Suggests Cat 2 by Friday - Skip Wiley, 10/17/2010, 8:37 pm
    - Re: HWRF Suggests Cat 2 by Friday - Target, 10/17/2010, 9:49 pm
      - Funktop Green Spot Watch Tonight... - Target, 10/18/2010, 9:34 am
        i see it - BobbiStorm, 10/18/2010, 12:10 pm
        GFDL did o so good with Paula - jotay3, 10/18/2010, 4:50 pm
        Latest GFDL: Major Hurricane By Friday (and Green Spots!) - Target, 10/18/2010, 7:28 pm
        Re: Latest GFDL: Major Hurricane By Friday (and Green Spots!) - BobbiStorm, 10/18/2010, 8:53 pm
        Re: Latest GFDL: Major Hurricane By Friday (and Green Spots!) - Target, 10/18/2010, 9:13 pm
        Re: Latest GFDL: Major Hurricane By Friday (and Green Spots!) - Target, 10/18/2010, 9:46 pm
        Re: Latest GFDL: Major Hurricane By Friday (and Green Spots!) - BobbiStorm, 10/18/2010, 11:54 pm
        Re: Latest GFDL: Major Hurricane By Friday (and Green Spots!) - Stormexpert2010, 10/18/2010, 9:30 pm
        Richard at 30% by NHC - Target, 10/18/2010, 10:25 pm
        Re: Richard at 30% by NHC - Stormexpert2010, 10/18/2010, 10:55 pm
        40? - BobbiStorm, 10/18/2010, 11:55 pm
        Re: 40? - Chris in Tampa, 10/19/2010, 12:09 am
        Re: 40? - hanna, 10/19/2010, 12:36 am
        Or it stays at 30% at 2AM EDT on 10/19 - Chris in Tampa, 10/19/2010, 1:49 am
        i was right...was 40 % this morning - BobbiStorm, 10/19/2010, 10:10 am
        Re: i was right...was 40 % this morning - Wildthing, 10/19/2010, 2:36 pm

< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in

Post A Reply

This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.