Shear dropping & convection deepening
Posted by
JAC on 10/27/2010, 10:04 pm
Nice persistent anti-cyclone ahead of LLC.
Currently about 15 knots of shear.
LLC should move under the anti-cyclone.
LLC still showing some wave characteristics.
Being this far south makes spin-up somewhat challenged but not out of the question.
Warm core, a little broad and a little low.
Looks like a moderately slow spin up over the next couple days.
Tomorrow's model runs will tell us more if this crashes into South America or recurves into the Carib.





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In this thread:
91L - the one Models spinning up in the Carib next week -
JAC,
10/27/2010, 4:02 pm- Warming up quickly - JAC, 10/28/2010, 4:55 pm
- RICKSTERPR: Take a look at 12Z CMC - JAC, 10/28/2010, 2:13 pm
- Orange Box at 2PM - JAC, 10/28/2010, 2:06 pm
- This weekends setup - JAC, 10/28/2010, 12:19 pm
- Recon goes Friday - JAC, 10/28/2010, 10:51 am
- Good middle level rotation picking up on VIS - JAC, 10/28/2010, 10:17 am
- Shear Forecast - JAC, 10/28/2010, 7:40 am
- CMC & HWRF jumping on board big time - JAC, 10/28/2010, 7:05 am
- Shear dropping & convection deepening - JAC, 10/27/2010, 10:04 pm
- Euro & GFS now buying into the FIM recurve - JAC, 10/27/2010, 4:17 pm
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